The Hurricane Vance, a category 2 storm in the Pacific, remains far from Mexico's coast, but its circulation is bringing rain to Michoacán, Guerrero, and Oaxaca. According to the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC), the storm is expected to start weakening from Saturday night, October 24.
Why it matters: although Vance does not threaten to make landfall, its cloud bands can bring heavy rain to mountainous areas and high waves to the coast. It's a good idea to follow its evolution, without alarm, especially if you have family in the southwest of the country.
According to the NHC's bulletin 12, the center of Vance was also about 750 km south-southeast of Manzanillo. The storm is moving northwest at 11 km/h and will continue to do so over the weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend up to 45 km from the center, and tropical storm-force winds up to 240 km.
On Friday, October 23, Vance became a category 2 storm. That day, the National Meteorological Service (SMN), cited by EFE, forecast heavy rain in Michoacán and Guerrero, showers in Oaxaca, and waves of up to three meters on the coast of Guerrero.
The Semar reports cloudy to overcast skies over the coasts of Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, and Chiapas, and waves of between 4.8 and 5.4 meters near the system, i.e., in open sea. Authorities asked people to exercise extreme caution.
Vance formed on Wednesday, October 21, south of Guerrero. If you want to review how it started, you can read our note from when Vance was still a possible cyclone.
The Pacific season runs from May 15 to November 30. According to the National Water Commission (Conagua), there have been 20 cyclones: 10 tropical storms, two category 1 or 2 hurricanes, and eight category 3 to 5 hurricanes. These eight major hurricanes exceed the five that were forecast.
Sources: National Hurricane Center (NHC), bulletin 12; Secretariat of the Navy; EFE. Data consulted on October 24, 2026.
Main photo: EFE/NOAA.
